Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 36.91%. A draw had a probability of 31.69% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.38%) , while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.