Champions League
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruno Guimaraes 13' goal
  • Ernest Poku 47' yellowcard
  • Mark Flekken 51' yellowcard
  • Aleix Garcia 51' yellowcard
  • Alex Grimaldo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 21'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 22'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 51'
  • goal Lewis Miley 74'
  • yellowcard Aaron Ramsdale 82'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 25, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 25, 2025 8.00pm
Marseille 2 - 1 Newcastle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 44.67%
Draw 23.05%
Newcastle United 32.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.75%

Goals

Over 2.5 62.62%
Under 2.5 37.37%
Over 3.5 40.41%
Under 3.5 59.59%
Over 4.5 22.47%
Under 4.5 77.53%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 82.81%
Under 0.5 17.19%
Over 1.5 52.54%
Under 1.5 47.45%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 76.98%
Under 0.5 23.02%
Over 1.5 43.16%
Under 1.5 56.83%

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 44.67%
Draw 23.05%
Newcastle United 32.28%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.01%
1-0 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 44.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 3.96%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.05%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.28%

Build-up

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