Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.