Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Miguel Gutiérrez 6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Paixão 38'
  • yellowcard Ulisses Garcia 54'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 77'
  • yellowcard Tochukwu Nnadi 90'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje

Marseille

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 28.93% and a draw has a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Marseille win is 1-2 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.6%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 49.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 21.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Marseille 28.93% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 16.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 40.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 59.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 25.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 74.54% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 33.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 36.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Marseille 30.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 52.98% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Marseille 42.95% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.59% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.24%
Under 8 34.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 43.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 45.41% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 33.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 66.83% ▲ (+0.07)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 52.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 27.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 72.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.06% ▲ (+0.04)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 65.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.34%
Under 1.5 64.66%
Over 2.5 14.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.73% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 49.47%
Draw 21.59%
Marseille 28.93%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 11.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 49.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.59%
Marseille
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 28.93%