Looking to pick up their sixth consecutive victory across all competitions, AZ Alkmaar play host to Willem II at the AFAS Stadion on Saturday.
The visitors, in stark contrast, have lost each of their most recent seven games across all competitions and will be aiming to end this dry spell.
Match preview
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AZ Alkmaar sealed their place in the quarter-finals of the KNVB beker last Wednesday when they cruised to a comfortable 4-1 win over Heracles Almelo.
This followed a thrilling 2-1 victory away to reigning champions Ajax on December 12, when Vangelis Pavlidis and Zakaria Aboukhlal scored either side of Sebastien Haller's 73rd-minute equaliser to hand the hosts just their second defeat of the season.
AZ have now won each of their most recent five games in all competitions, scoring 12 goals and conceding four, while they are unbeaten in eight, stretching back to a 1-0 loss against Feyenoord on November 7.
After a slow start to the season, where they lost four of their opening five games, this upturn in form has seen Pascal Jansen's side rise to eighth place in the Eredivisie standings, one point behind Cambuur in the final Conference League playoff spot.
Next up for AZ Alkmaar is an opposing side who they have failed to defeat in five of the last seven meetings between the sides, losing four and claiming two wins in that time.
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Meanwhile, Willem II were left empty-handed once again as they fell to a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Cambuur at the Koning Willem II Stadion.
Following an uneventful first half, Godfried Roemeratoe pulled one back for the hosts following goals from Roberts Uldrikis and Robin Maulun before Mitchell Paulissen restored Cambuur's two-goal lead.
Fred Grim's men have now lost each of their most recent seven games on the bounce across all competitions, while they have failed to pick up a win in any of their last 10, dating back to a 2-1 win over PSV back in September.
This horrid run has seen Willem II drop to 13th place on the log, six points above Fortuna Sittard in the relegation playoff spot and this has been down to their struggles at the defensive end of the pitch, where they boast the division's third-worst record after shipping 31 goals in 16 games.
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Team News
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AZ will take to the pitch without the services of 22-year-old forward Jelle Duin, who sustained a knee injury back in November.
Hakon Evjen is set to sit out his seventh consecutive game after the Norwegian midfielder picked up an injury against Jablonec on November 25.
Willem II, on the other hand, will have to make do with the absence of Wesley Spieringhs and Freek Heerkens, who are both recuperating from knee injuries.
They are joined on the club's injury table by Robbin Ruiter, who picked up a shoulder problem back in August, and defender Emil Bergstrom, who sustained an injury against Sparta Rotterdam on November 6.
AZ Alkmaar possible starting lineup:
Vindahl; Wijndal, Martins Indi, Chatzidiakos, Sugawara; Midtsjo, Reijnders, De Wit; Karlsson, Pavlidis, Gudmundsson
Willem II possible starting lineup:
Wellenreuther; Owusu, Jenssen, Michelis, Kohn; Saddiki, Llonch; Saglam, Kohlert, Nunnely; Okyere Wriedt
We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Willem II
After a slow start to the season, AZ Alkmaar have hit their stride in recent weeks and will be aiming to keep the juggernaut rolling and move into the European qualification places. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we predict they will claim all three points against a floundering Willem II side.
Top tip
Joshua Ojele
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 81.63%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 6.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
