Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
Wolfsberger

Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Wolfsberger

Boving (45+1')
Grgic (48'), Wuthrich (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ballo (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, May 18 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Wolfsberger

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-2 Austria Vienna
Sunday, May 18 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger
38.89% (0.016999999999996 0.02)25.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)35.69% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)47.63% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)69.83% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.00099999999999056 0)24.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Wolfsberger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)60.9% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 38.89%
    Wolfsberger 35.69%
    Draw 25.41%
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 35.69%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger

Sturm Graz
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Wolfsberger
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2025 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wolfsberger
1-1
Sturm Graz
Pink (3')
Schopf (53')
Horvat (72')
Gorenc Stankovic (55'), Johnston (78'), Johnston (78')
Feb 15, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 18
Wolfsberger
3-0
Sturm Graz
Zukic (17', 23'), Schopf (83')
Omic (58'), Gattermayer (74'), Gattermayer (81')

Kiteishvili (49'), Jasic (90+2'), Malic (90+2')
Sep 22, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sturm Graz
0-3
Wolfsberger

Karic (41'), Lavalee (77'), Gazibegovic (89')
Ballo (20'), Atanga (72'), Kojzek (90+5')
Nwaiwu (90+3')
Mar 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 21
Sturm Graz
4-0
Wolfsberger
Biereth (66'), Sarkaria (70'), Lavalee (85'), Affengruber (89')
Kiteishvili (2'), Gorenc Stankovic (27')

Altunashvili (55'), Zimmermann (58'), Bonmann (70'), Boakye (83'), Baumgartner (90+3')
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsberger
1-2
Sturm Graz
Dante (40' og.)
Leitgeb (3'), Altunashvili (64'), Scherzer (81')
Sarkaria (54'), Kiteishvili (59')
Hierlander (42'), Wuthrich (70'), Gorenc Stankovic (75'), Scherpen (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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