Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for BW Linz had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a BW Linz win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.