Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.