Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.