Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 8
May 9, 2025 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Aleksa Terzic 18' goal
  • William Boving 20' goal
  • Gregory Wuthrich 48' goal
  • Tochi Chukwuani 72' goal
  • goal Nene Dorgeles 45'
  • goal Emanuel Aiwu 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kouakou Joane Gadou 68'

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 4, 2025 1.30pm
BW Linz 0 - 1 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 4, 2025 4.00pm
Salzburg 2 - 0 Austria Vienna
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Nene Dorgeles

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result

Sturm Graz 36.11% (+0.03)
Draw 24.43% (+0.01)
Red Bull Salzburg 39.46% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.77% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 34.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 65.43% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.95% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.05% (+0.01)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 76.46% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.54% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.59% (-0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 78.18% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.82% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.96% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.04% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 36.11%
Draw 24.43%
Red Bull Salzburg 39.46%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.43%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 39.46%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 6' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 32' goal
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 48'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 54'
  • redcard Gregory Wuthrich 63'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 70'
  • yellowcard Malick Junior Yalcouye 71'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Mar 2, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Yorbe Vertessen 72' goal
  • Nene Dorgeles 84' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 87' goal
  • goal Jon Gorenc Stankovic 10'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 39'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 45'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 53'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 4.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Malick Junior Yalcouye 15' goal
  • Mika Biereth 30' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 41' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 51' goal
  • Mika Biereth 62' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 76' goal
  • yellowcard Kamil Piatkowski 66'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bajcetic 90'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Apr 28, 2024 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Nene Dorgeles 72' goal
  • Karim Konate 82' goal
  • Oumar Solet 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Prass 1'
  • goal Alexander Prass 34'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 60'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mar 31, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 45' yellowcard
  • Gregory Wuthrich 78' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 90'+6' redcard
  • Dimitri Lavalee 90'+10' redcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Gluh 31'
  • goal Mads Bidstrup 48'
  • yellowcard Petar Ratkov 89'
  • redcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Alexander Schlager 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Karim Konate 90'+12'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Petar Ratkov 15' goal
  • Mamady Diambou 33' yellowcard
  • Fernando 47' yellowcard
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 80'
  • yellowcard David Schnegg 90'+1'