Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
36.11% ( 0.02)	24.43% ( 0)	39.46% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.97% (

-0.02)

43.03% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57% (

-0.02)

65.43% (

0.01)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

23.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

0.01)

57.59% (

-0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

-0.02)

21.82% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

-0.03)

55.04% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 36.11%

Red Bull Salzburg 39.46%

Draw 24.43%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 39.46%