Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.