Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Vienna would win this match.

Result
Rapid Vienna	Draw	Sturm Graz
48.7% ( 0.64)	24.44% ( -0.34)	26.86% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.07% (

1.24)

46.92% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.82% (

1.15)

69.17% (

-1.15)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67% (

0.76)

19.33% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9% (

1.23)

51.09% (

-1.24)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56% (

0.41)

31.43% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

0.48)

67.81% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Rapid Vienna 48.7%

Sturm Graz 26.86%

Draw 24.43%

Rapid Vienna	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.7%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.86%