May 18, 2025 4.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Allianz Stadion

Bendeguz Bolla 20'
Guido Burgstaller 41'
Bendeguz Bolla 78'

Leon Grgic 66'

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rapid Vienna

All competitions

W
L
D
L
L
L

Austrian Bundesliga

W
L
D
L
L
W

Last game

May 11, 2025 4.00pm

Austria Vienna 1 - 2 Rapid Vienna

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Dion Beljo

Sturm Graz

All competitions

W
W
L
L
W
W

Austrian Bundesliga

W
W
L
L
W
W

Last game

May 9, 2025 6.30pm

Sturm Graz 4 - 2 Salzburg

Goals scored

66

Top scorer

Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Vienna would win this match.

Result

Rapid Vienna 48.7% ▲ (+0.65)

Draw 24.44% ▼ (-0.34)

Sturm Graz 26.86% ▼ (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score:

55.31% ▲ (+0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.07% ▲ (+1.24)

Under 2.5 46.92% ▼ (-1.25)

Over 3.5 30.82% ▲ (+1.15)

Under 3.5 69.17% ▼ (-1.16)

Over 4.5 15.24% ▲ (+0.80)

Under 4.5 84.75% ▼ (-0.80)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5 80.67% ▲ (+0.76)

Under 0.5 19.33% ▼ (-0.77)

Over 1.5 48.9% ▲ (+1.24)

Under 1.5 51.09% ▼ (-1.25)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 68.56% ▲ (+0.42)

Under 0.5 31.43% ▼ (-0.42)

Over 1.5 32.19% ▲ (+0.48)

Under 1.5 67.81% ▼ (-0.49)

Score analysis

Rapid Vienna 48.7%

Draw 24.43%

Sturm Graz 26.86%

Rapid Vienna

1-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.28)

2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.07)

2-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.04)

3-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.16)

3-0 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.09)

3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.13)

4-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.12)

4-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.08)

4-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.08)

Other @ 3.08%

Total : 48.7%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.55% ▼ (-0.20)

0-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.33)

2-2 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.11)

3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 0.15%

Total : 24.43%

Sturm Graz

0-1 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.30)

1-2 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.04)

0-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.12)

1-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.07)

0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 2.8%

Total : 26.86%

Head to Head

Apr 4, 2025 6.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Merkur Arena

William Boving 18'
Max Johnston 34'
Tomi Horvat 51'
Leon Grgic 90'

Nenad Cvetkovic 63'
Dion Beljo 68'
Jakob Maximilian Scholler 84'

Nov 2, 2024 4.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Merkur Arena

Emanuel Aiwu 79'
Erencan Yardimci 82'
Noah Bischof 90'+4'
Tochi Chukwuani 90'+4'

Mamadou Sangare 39'
Dion Beljo 90'
Tochi Chukwuani 90'+3'

Aug 4, 2024 4.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Allianz Stadion

Dion Beljo 17'
Dion Beljo 29'
Mamadou Sangare 66'
Guido Burgstaller 90'+3'

Dimitri Lavalee 51'
Jon Gorenc Stankovic 53'
Jusuf Gazibegovic 82'

Apr 24, 2024 7.30pm

1

3

HT : 1 3

FT Allianz Stadion

Fally Mayulu 19'
Jonas Auer 53'

Tomi Horvat 8'
Jusuf Gazibegovic 29'
Otar Kiteishvili 44'
Dimitri Lavalee 69'
David Schnegg 84'

Apr 19, 2024 6.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Merkur Arena

Mika Biereth 79'
David Affengruber 90'+6'

Roman Kerschbaum 77'
Marco Grull 90'+3'

Feb 18, 2024 4.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Merkur Arena

Dimitri Lavalee 6'
Dimitri Lavalee 55'
Mika Biereth 64'

Christoph Lang 41'
Matthias Seidl 80'
Christoph Lang 83'
Maximilian Hofmann 87'

Form Data

Austria Vienna 1 - 2 Rapid Vienna

Rapid Vienna 0 - 1 Wolfsberger

Rapid Vienna 0 - 0 BW Linz

BW Linz 2 - 1 Rapid Vienna

Wolfsberger 5 - 1 Rapid Vienna

Rapid Vienna 1 - 4 Djurgarden

Sturm Graz 4 - 2 Salzburg

BW Linz 0 - 1 Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Austria Vienna

Austria Vienna 2 - 1 Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz 2 - 0 BW Linz

Salzburg 1 - 2 Sturm Graz