Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 at 4pm UK
Linzer Stadion
Red Bull Salzburg

BW Linz
1 - 2
Salzburg

Seidl (9')
Dobras (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ratkov (79'), Baidoo (90+4')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between BW Linz and Red Bull Salzburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

BW Linz

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsberger 2-0 BW Linz
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Last Game: Sturm Graz 4-2 Salzburg
Friday, May 9 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for BW Linz had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a BW Linz win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match.

Result
BW LinzDrawRed Bull Salzburg
22.56% (0.248 0.25)22.88% (0.519 0.52)54.56% (-0.767 -0.77)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-1.426 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-2.044 -2.04)44.07% (2.044 2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-2.021 -2.02)66.45% (2.022 2.02)
BW Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (-0.914 -0.91)33.48% (0.91399999999999 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-1.013 -1.01)70.12% (1.013 1.01)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.974 -0.97)16.06% (0.974 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-1.813 -1.81)45.43% (1.812 1.81)
Score Analysis
    BW Linz 22.56%
    Red Bull Salzburg 54.56%
    Draw 22.88%
BW LinzDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.372 0.37)
2-0 @ 3.22% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 22.56%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.464 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.541 0.54)
0-2 @ 8.99% (0.204 0.2)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 5.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.74% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.56%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2025 1.30pm
Gameweek 2
Salzburg
2-1
BW Linz
Dorgeles (55'), Baidoo (71')
Ratkov (87')
Mitrovic (82')
Nov 10, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
BW Linz
2-0
Salzburg
Ronivaldo (46'), Briedl (58')
Ronivaldo (85'), Mensah (90+2')

Gourna-Douath (44')
Aug 10, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Salzburg
5-1
BW Linz
Gluh (15', 34', 62'), Kounfolo Yeo (73'), Bidstrup (78')
Piatkowski (32')
Noss (12')
Maranda (3'), Briedl (85')
Feb 17, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 19
BW Linz
1-1
Salzburg
Maranda (11')
Scheiblehner (15'), Strauss (30')
Dobras (90+7')
Ratkov (1')
Struber (85')
Sep 23, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Salzburg
0-1
BW Linz

Koita (63')
Ronivaldo (61')
Koch (41'), Mensah (83')