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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Villarreal logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Villarreal

Berenguer (44')
Garcia (53'), Lopez (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moreno (16')
Capoue (40'), Foyth (55')

Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. Villarreal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Villarreal will be looking to win in La Liga for the first time since January 8 when they travel to San Mames on Sunday evening to take on Athletic Bilbao.

The Yellow Submarine, who beat Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 in the Europa League on Thursday, are currently sixth in Spain's top flight, eight points above 10th-placed Athletic, who have a game in hand.


Match preview

Athletic Bilbao's Raul Garcia celebrates scoring against Real Madrid in the semi-finals of the Spanish Super Cup on January 14, 2021© Reuters

Athletic will be aiming to make it back-to-back victories in the league, having recorded an impressive 4-0 win away to Cadiz on Monday night, with Alex Berenguer netting a brace for the Basque outfit.

Marcelino's side cannot afford to become distracted in Spain's top flight as they are only five points behind seventh-placed Real Betis and will be eyeing a potential Europa League finish this term.

However, the club will certainly be thinking about the Copa del Rey as they will face Levante in the second leg of their semi-final on March 4, with the tie delicately poised at 1-1 from the first leg.

Athletic will also take on Real Sociedad in the final of the 2020 competition at the start of April, with the match being postponed last year due to the coronavirus outbreak.

Los Leones recorded a 1-0 win over Villarreal when the two teams locked horns in the corresponding match last season, while they held the Yellow Submarine to a 1-1 draw in the reverse game back in December.

Villarreal coach Unai Emery reacts in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal, as mentioned, will enter Sunday's clash off the back of an impressive 2-0 win over Salzburg in the first leg of their last-32 Europa League clash on Thursday evening.

Paco Alcacer and Fer Nino scored the goals for the Spanish outfit, who are now in an excellent position to book their spot in the last-16 stage of the competition in the reverse fixture.

Villarreal's league form has tailed off, though, having picked up just four points from their last five matches, and they suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Real Betis last weekend.

Unai Emery's side have not actually triumphed in the league since a 4-0 success at Celta Vigo on January 8, with the disappointing run seeing them drop behind Real Sociedad into sixth position in the table.

El Submarino Amarillo are only two points behind Sociedad, though, and have only lost three of their 23 league matches this season, which is the second-best record in the division behind Atletico Madrid (1).

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form: WLWLDW
Athletic Bilbao form (all competitions): WLWDDW

Villarreal La Liga form: WDDDDL
Villarreal form (all competitions): WDLDLW


Team News

Villarreal's Gerard Moreno celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates against Real Madrid on November 21, 2020© Reuters

Athletic will be without the services of Unai Nunez and Mikel Vesga this weekend through suspension, with both players picking up yellow cards in the win over Cadiz last time out. As a result, Inigo Martinez should return in the middle of the defence, while Dani Garcia is expected to replace Vesga.

Peru Nolaskoain is still unavailable through injury, but the Basque side are otherwise in excellent shape, meaning that head coach Marcelino has plenty of options for change.

Oscar de Marcos had been operating on the right of midfield, but Berenguer scored twice in the win over Cadiz and should therefore retain his spot alongside Inaki Williams, Iker Muniain and Raul Garcia in attack.

As for Villarreal, Manu Trigueros is available following a suspension and should start in midfield, but Francis Coquelin, Alberto Moreno, Vicente Iborra and Mario Gaspar are all still injured.

Head coach Emery is expected to stick with the bulk of the side that started in the Europa League on Thursday, with Alcacer, Gerard Moreno and Moi Gomez all operating in attacking positions.

There could be a change at left-back, though, with Alfonso Pedraza replacing Pervis Estupinan, while Sergio Asenjo will also return to the starting XI between the sticks.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Capa, Alvarez, Martinez, Berchiche; Berenguer, Lopez, D Garcia, Muniain; R Garcia, Williams

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Pena, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza; Parejo, Capoue, Trigueros; G Moreno, Alcacer, M Gomez


SM words green background

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villarreal

This is a very, very difficult match to call as both sides will feel that they can hurt the other in the final third of the field. Athletic have had much longer to prepare for this contest and should have an advantage, but Villarreal are tough to beat so we have settled on a low-scoring draw at San Mames.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
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10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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