UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Nov 16, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadi Nacional

Andorra
0 - 1
Moldova

Vales (17'), Fernandez (64'), Pujol (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Postolachi (90+2')
Rata (18'), Mudrac (35'), Reabciuk (46'), Postolachi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Andorra and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Andorra 2-0 San Marino
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Moldova

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Malta 1-0 Moldova
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moldova in this match.

Result
Andorra	Draw	Moldova
29.68% ( -0.24)	29.43% ( -0.08)	40.89% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 42.61% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.95% (

0.18)

64.05% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.78% (

0.13)

83.22% (

-0.13)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

-0.09)

38.41% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

-0.09)

75.16% (

0.09)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

0.28)

30.82% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91% (

0.33)

67.09% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Andorra 29.67%

Moldova 40.89%

Draw 29.42%

Andorra	Draw	Moldova
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.67%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.42%	0-1 @ 13.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 40.89%