Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Hocine Aït Ahmed Stadium
  • Jaouen Hadjam 2' goal
  • Ibrahim Maza 67' goal
  • Anis Hadj Moussa 74' goal
  • yellowcard Joseph Liteta 49'
  • goal Fashion Sakala 57'
  • yellowcard Owen Tembo 82'
  • yellowcard Fashion Sakala 89'

Algeria vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Zambia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%) , while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Algeria 71.65%
Draw 18.4%
Zambia 9.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

36.86% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.48%
Under 1.5 25.52%
Over 2.5 52.24%
Under 2.5 47.76%
Over 3.5 31.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 22.65%
Under 4.5 77.35%

First Half Winner

Algeria 50.34%
Draw 40.55%
Zambia 9.1%

Team To Score First

Algeria 75.06% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Zambia 17.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 37.63%
Equal 8 10.41%
Under 8 51.95%
Over 9 28.54%
Equal 9 9.1%
Under 9 62.37%
Over 10.5 21.17%
Under 10.5 78.83%

Algeria Goals

Over 1.5 61.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 38.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 37.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 62.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 19.74%
Under 3.5 80.26%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 36.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 63.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 9.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 90.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 98.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 0.33%
Under 3.5 99.67%

Score analysis

Algeria 71.63%
Draw 18.4%
Zambia 9.94%
Algeria
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 12.58%
3-0 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 19.73%
Total : 71.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.4%
Zambia
0-1 @ 4.47%
1-2 @ 2.56%
0-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 9.94%