Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 4
Nov 16, 2026 1.00pm
Juba Stadium

Sudan vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Sudan 1 - 0 Ethiopia

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Mozambique 1 - 1 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw has a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sudan has a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.9%) and 0-3 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.68%) , while for a Sudan win it is 1-0 (5.65%).

Result

Sudan 13.42% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 21.3% ▼ (-0.25)
Senegal 65.3% ▲ (+0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.8% ▼ (-1.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.97% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 29.03% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 45.4% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 2.5 54.6% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 3.5 24.15% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 75.85% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 15.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Sudan Goals

Over 1.5 12.64% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 1.5 87.36% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 2.5 2.84% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 97.16% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 0.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 99.47% ▲ (+0.08)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 82.97% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 17.03% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 54.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 45.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 28.19% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 71.81% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 12.13% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 87.87% ▼ (-0.46)

Score analysis

Sudan 13.42%
Draw 21.29%
Senegal 65.29%
Sudan
1-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 2%
Other @ 0.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 13.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.23)
0-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.29%
Senegal
0-1 @ 15% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 13.9% ▲ (+0.31)
0-3 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.34)
1-2 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.35)
1-3 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 12.1% ▲ (+0.47)
Total : 65.29%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade du Senegal (Stade Abdoulaye Wade De Diamniadio)
  • Nicolas Jackson 31' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 61' goal
  • Ibrahim Mbaye 64' goal
  • Pape Demba Diop 81' yellowcard
  • Pathé Mboup 86' goal
  • Sadibou Sané 88' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Abuaagla 45'
  • yellowcard Mustafa Karshom 66'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Tabanja 84'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 3, 2026 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Grand Stade de Tanger
  • Ismail Jakobs 13' yellowcard
  • Pape Gueye 29' goal
  • Pape Gueye 45'+3' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Boulaye Dia 53' yellowcard
  • El Hadji Malick Diouf 53' yellowcard
  • Lamine Camara 73' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Mbaye 74' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Mbaye 77' goal
  • Pathé Ciss 87' yellowcard
  • goal Aamir Abdallah 6'
  • yellowcard Altayeb Abaker 61'
  • yellowcard Salaheldin Adil 68'
  • yellowcard Sheddy Barglan 70'
  • yellowcard John Mano 79'
  • yellowcard Abdelrazig Omer 79'
  • yellowcard Al-Gozoli Nooh 79'
  • yellowcard Salaheldin Adil 85'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade du Senegal (Stade Abdoulaye Wade De Diamniadio)
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 14' goal
  • Pape Matar Sarr 41' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bakhit Khamis 79'
African Nations Championship Gameweek 50
Aug 29, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
ET Al-Hilal Stadium
  • Mohamed Tia Abu Daqn 6' goal
  • Yaser Awad Boshara 36' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Tia Abu Daqn 42' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Al-Rasheed 67' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Abooja 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mbaye Yaya Ly 25'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Fall Seck 52'
  • goal Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye 58'
  • yellowcard Issa Kane 60'
African Nations Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al-Hilal Stadium
  • Mazen Bashir Simbo 26' yellowcard
  • Salaheldin Adil 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mbaye Yaya Ly 18'
  • redcard Mbaye Yaya Ly 90'+5'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 22, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT 28 March Stadium
  • Ramadan Agab 70' yellowcard
  • Walieldin Khidir Safour Daiyeen 72' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Saeed Ahmed 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 89'