Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 4
Nov 16, 2026 3.00pm
Accra Sports Stadium

Somalia vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Somalia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia

Ghana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ghana win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw has a probability of 21.06% and a win for Somalia has a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.85%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.51%) , while for a Somalia win it is 1-0 (5.56%).

Result

Somalia 15.74% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 21.06% ▼ (-0.17)
Ghana 63.2% ▲ (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.05% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.14% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 1.5 27.86% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 47.49% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 52.51% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 25.58% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 74.42% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 4.5 16.36% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 83.64% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Somalia 13.08%
Draw 41.11%
Ghana 45.81%

Team To Score First

Somalia 23.68% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 7.89% ▼ (-0.21)
Ghana 68.43% ▲ (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 23.99%
Equal 8 8.97%
Under 8 67.04%
Over 9 17.16%
Equal 9 6.83%
Under 9 76.01%
Over 10.5 12.25%
Under 10.5 87.75%

Somalia Goals

Over 1.5 16.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 83.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.25%
Under 3.5 98.75%

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 82.3% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 0.5 17.7% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 1.5 53.19% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 1.5 46.81% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 2.5 27.49% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 72.51% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 11.75% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 88.25% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Somalia 15.75%
Draw 21.06%
Ghana 63.2%
Somalia
1-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.25)
2-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.06%
Ghana
0-1 @ 14.42% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 12.85% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 63.2%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Accra Sports Stadium
  • Jonas Adjetey 45'+2' goal
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 62' goal
  • yellowcard Abdi Sharif 14'