Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Somalia win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Somalia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-0 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.