Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 31, 2026 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Mauritius vs Somalia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
Somalia 0 - 0 Mauritius

Somalia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
Somalia 0 - 0 Mauritius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Somalia win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Somalia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-0 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Mauritius 35.59%
Draw 26.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Somalia 37.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.51% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.78% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 30.22% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 45.46% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 54.54% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 24.92% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 75.08% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 14.13% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 85.87% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Mauritius 28.05%
Draw 47.66%
Somalia 24.29%

Team To Score First

Mauritius 46.99% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 9.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Somalia 43.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 15.22%
Equal 8 6.08%
Under 8 78.7%
Over 9 11.1%
Equal 9 4.13%
Under 9 84.78%
Over 10.5 8.36%
Under 10.5 91.64%

Mauritius Goals

Over 1.5 33.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 66.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 13.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 86.63% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 4.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.23% ▼ (-0.05)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5 67.05% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 32.95% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 34.2% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 65.8% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 13.83% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 86.17% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.46% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Mauritius 35.6%
Draw 26.57%
Somalia 37.86%
Mauritius
1-0 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 35.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.57%
Somalia
0-1 @ 10.7% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 37.86%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT