Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Somalia vs Mauritius - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Somalia

All competitions

Mauritius

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 49%. A win for Somalia had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Somalia win was 1-0 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Somalia 28.83%
Draw 22.21%
Mauritius 49% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.8% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 34.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.55% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 22.27% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.73% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Somalia 24.12%
Draw 40.62%
Mauritius 35.26%

Team To Score First

Somalia 39.77%
No Goal 6.24%
Mauritius 53.99%

Corners

Over 8 11.67% (+0.11)
Equal 8 4.69% (+0.08)
Under 8 83.64% (-0.18)
Over 9 8.63% (+0.07)
Equal 9 3.04% (+0.05)
Under 9 88.33% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 6.64% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 93.36% (-0.02)

Somalia Goals

Over 1.5 30.9% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.1% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.84% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.65% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.35% (-0.02)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5 76.39% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.61% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.88% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.12% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 24.88% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.12% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.86% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.14% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Somalia 28.83%
Draw 22.21%
Mauritius 49%
Somalia
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.15% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.44% (+0.02)
Total : 28.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.21%
Mauritius
0-1 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 7.87% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 2.59%
Other @ 11.65% (+0.04)
Total : 49%