Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 49%. A win for Somalia had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Somalia win was 1-0 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.