Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 5.00pm

Ghana vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ghana win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Gambia has a probability of 25.68% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Gambia win is 0-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).

Result

Ghana 49.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 24.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Gambia 25.68% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.34% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.04% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 25.96% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 50.3% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 49.7% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 27.61% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 72.39% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 4.5 15.85% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 4.5 84.15% ▲ (+0.28)

First Half Winner

Ghana 32.79%
Draw 46.49%
Gambia 20.72%

Team To Score First

Ghana 55.75% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 7.48% ▲ (+0.09)
Gambia 36.77% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 20.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 7.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 14.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 5.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 79.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 10.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 89.64% ▼ (-0.02)

Ghana Goals

Over 1.5 45.23% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 54.77% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 22.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 77.96% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 8.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 91.36% ▲ (+0.11)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 59.43% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 40.57% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 26.37% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 73.63% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 2.5 9.13% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 90.87% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 2.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 97.47% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Ghana 49.45%
Draw 24.9%
Gambia 25.68%
Ghana
1-0 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 49.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.9%
Gambia
0-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 25.68%