Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT Accra Sports Stadium
  • Ernest Nuamah 27' goal
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 33' goal
  • Kojo Peprah Oppong 36' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Tetteh 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yaya Bojang 36'
  • goal Mohamed Badamosi 37'
  • goal Omar Colley 42'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 64'
  • goal Ebrima Colley 68'
  • yellowcard Ebrima Colley 69'
  • goal Ebrima Colley 90'+1'

Ghana vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Gambia win was 0-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).

Result

Ghana 50.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Gambia 25.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.65% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.35% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Ghana 32.96%
Draw 46.7%
Gambia 20.34%

Team To Score First

Ghana 56.47% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Gambia 35.95% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 20.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 8 7.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 71.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 14.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 79.59% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 10.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 89.36% ▼ (-0.04)

Ghana Goals

Over 1.5 45.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 22.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.24% ▼ (-0.04)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 58.84%
Under 0.5 41.16%
Over 1.5 25.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.63% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ghana 50.11%
Draw 24.77%
Gambia 25.09%
Ghana
1-0 @ 11.3% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 50.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.77%
Gambia
0-1 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.09%