Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 8.00pm
Stade de l'Amitié

Somalia vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Somalia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 82.97%. A draw has a probability of 10.97% and a win for Somalia has a probability of 6.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win is 0-2 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (12.81%) and 0-1 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.18%) , while for a Somalia win it is 1-0 (2.72%).

Result

Somalia 6.05% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 10.97% ▲ (+0.17)
Ivory Coast 82.97% ▼ (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.39% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.77% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 18.23% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 62.6% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 37.4% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 40.74% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 3.5 59.26% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 4.5 34.48% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 4.5 65.52% ▲ (+0.66)

First Half Winner

Somalia 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.56% ▲ (+0.50)
Ivory Coast 72.96% ▼ (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Somalia 8.98% ▲ (+0.10)
No Goal 4.65% ▲ (+0.07)
Ivory Coast 86.37% ▼ (-0.16)

Corners

Over 8 23.02% ▲ (+0.24)
Equal 8 8.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 68.1% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 9 16.34% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 6.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 76.98% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 10.5 11.59% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 10.5 88.41% ▼ (-0.16)

Somalia Goals

Over 1.5 5.55% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 94.45% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 0.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 99.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 0.02%
Under 3.5 99.98%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 91.19% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 8.81% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 73.25% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 26.75% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 52.39% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 2.5 47.61% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 3.5 33.41% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 3.5 66.59% ▲ (+0.69)

Score analysis

Somalia 6.07%
Draw 10.99%
Ivory Coast 82.97%
Somalia
1-0 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 6.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 10.99%
Ivory Coast
0-2 @ 12.92% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 12.81% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 10.89% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.12%
2-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 33.4% ▼ (-0.70)
Total : 82.97%