Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 3.00pm
Accra Sports Stadium

Ghana vs Somalia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana

Somalia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ghana win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw has a probability of 23.9% and a win for Somalia has a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (10.45%) , while for a Somalia win it is 0-1 (6.09%).

Result

Ghana 61.37%
Draw 23.9%
Somalia 14.74% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.45% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 32.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 43.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 56.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 77.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 86.45% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Ghana 44.23%
Draw 42.5%
Somalia 13.28%

Team To Score First

Ghana 63.15% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Somalia 26.4% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 25.54%
Equal 8 8.88%
Under 8 65.58%
Over 9 18.66%
Equal 9 6.88%
Under 9 74.46%
Over 10.5 13.65%
Under 10.5 86.35%

Ghana Goals

Over 1.5 49.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 50.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 24.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5 44.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 55.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 13.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 86.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ghana 61.35%
Draw 23.91%
Somalia 14.73%
Ghana
1-0 @ 15.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 12.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 61.35%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-1 @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.91%
Somalia
0-1 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 14.73%