Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 4
Nov 17, 2026 4.00pm
Independence Stadium

Gambia vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw has a probability of 24.06% and a win for Gambia has a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Gambia win it is 1-0 (6.49%).

Result

Gambia 17.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 24.06% ▼ (-0.18)
Ivory Coast 58.58% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.42% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 27.22% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.12% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Gambia 17.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 41.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Ivory Coast 41% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Gambia 32.96% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Ivory Coast 58.6% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 20.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 8.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 71.22% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 14.26% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 9 6.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 79.6% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 10.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 89.99% ▲ (+0.05)

Gambia Goals

Over 1.5 17.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 82.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 95.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 80.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 26.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 11.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Gambia 17.36%
Draw 24.06%
Ivory Coast 58.58%
Gambia
1-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 17.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.06%
Ivory Coast
0-1 @ 12.58% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 11.28% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.25%
0-3 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 58.58%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade de Bouaké
  • Malick Yalcouyé 17' goal
  • Elye Wahi 24' goal
  • Amad Diallo 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sangaré 87' yellowcard
  • goal Musa Barrow 38'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 24, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
  • Sebastien Haller 15' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Gbamin 43' yellowcard
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 20, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Muhammed Badamosi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Adingra 38'
  • goal Christian Kouame 45'
  • yellowcard Karim Konate 78'
  • goal Seko Fofana 85'