International Friendlies
Oct 4, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas

Bolivia vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 1, 2026 1.00am
Argentina 4 - 0 Bolivia

Gambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 29, 2026 4.30pm
Iran 3 - 1 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolivia win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Gambia has a probability of 33.47% and a draw has a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Gambia win is 1-2 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.69%).

Result

Bolivia 42.4% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 24.09% ▼ (-0.27)
Gambia 33.47% ▲ (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.37% ▼ (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.42% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 59.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 40.47% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.93% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 63.07% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 4.5 22.76% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 4.5 77.24% ▼ (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Bolivia 30.22% ▼ (-0.75)
Draw 37.8% ▼ (-0.34)
Gambia 31.98% ▲ (+1.09)

Team To Score First

Bolivia 50.71% ▲ (+4.15)
No Goal 5.22%
Gambia 44.07% ▼ (-4.15)

Corners

Over 8 57.1% ▼ (-2.48)
Equal 8 10.34% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 8 32.56% ▲ (+2.78)
Over 9 46.59% ▼ (-2.03)
Equal 9 10.51% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 9 42.9% ▲ (+2.48)
Over 10.5 36.7% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 10.5 63.3% ▲ (+1.48)

Bolivia Goals

Over 1.5 46.02% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 53.98% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 21.96% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 78.04% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 8.4% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 91.6% ▼ (-0.21)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 69.57% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 30.43% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 38.56% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 61.44% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 17.01% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 82.99% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 6.31%
Under 3.5 93.69%

Score analysis

Bolivia 42.4%
Draw 24.09%
Gambia 33.48%
Bolivia
2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.45)
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 42.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.26)
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.09%
Gambia
1-2 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.48%