Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de Bouaké

Ivory Coast vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 64.67%. A draw has a probability of 20.06% and a win for Gambia has a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.53%) , while for a Gambia win it is 0-1 (4.53%).

Result

Ivory Coast 64.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 20.06%
Gambia 15.27% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.31% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 44.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 33.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 66.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 21.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.19% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Ivory Coast 47.05%
Draw 37.17%
Gambia 15.78%

Team To Score First

Ivory Coast 66.34% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 5.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Gambia 28.09%

Corners

Over 8 45.78%
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 42.49%
Over 9 34.89%
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 54.22%
Over 10.5 25.56%
Under 10.5 74.44%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 1.5 59.49%
Under 1.5 40.51%
Over 2.5 33.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 66.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 14.74%
Under 3.5 85.26%

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 49.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 64.67%
Draw 20.06%
Gambia 15.26%
Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 11.42% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.78%
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 14.73%
Total : 64.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.06%
Gambia
0-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.28%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 15.26%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 24, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
  • Sebastien Haller 15' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Gbamin 43' yellowcard
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 20, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Muhammed Badamosi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Adingra 38'
  • goal Christian Kouame 45'
  • yellowcard Karim Konate 78'
  • goal Seko Fofana 85'