Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Oct 6, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio 11 de Novembro

Angola vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Egypt 0 - 0 Angola

Malawi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Malawi 2 - 1 South Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Angola win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw has a probability of 27.49% and a win for Malawi has a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Angola win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.33%) , while for a Malawi win it is 0-1 (8.74%).

Result

Angola 50.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 27.49% ▼ (-0.61)
Malawi 21.85% ▲ (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

43% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.57% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 34.43% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 39.62% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 60.38% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 20.08% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 3.5 79.92% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 4.5 10.47% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 89.53% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Angola 36.85% ▲ (+1.58)
Draw 44.63% ▼ (-1.26)
Malawi 18.52% ▼ (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Angola 55.58% ▼ (-1.67)
No Goal 10.76% ▼ (-0.52)
Malawi 33.66% ▲ (+2.18)

Corners

Over 8 40.38% ▲ (+2.45)
Equal 8 11.68% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 47.95% ▼ (-2.53)
Over 9 30% ▲ (+2.16)
Equal 9 10.38% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 9 59.62% ▼ (-2.45)
Over 10.5 21.48% ▲ (+1.77)
Under 10.5 78.52% ▼ (-1.78)

Angola Goals

Over 1.5 40.99% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 59.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 17.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5 53.97% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 46.03% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 19.69% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 80.31% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 4.62% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 95.38% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.95% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Angola 50.66%
Draw 27.49%
Malawi 21.85%
Angola
1-0 @ 14.93% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 50.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 10.76% ▼ (-0.52)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 27.49%
Malawi
0-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 21.85%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 10, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gaddie Chirwa 44' yellowcard
  • Blessings Mpokera 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Keliano 11'
  • goal Randy Nteka 48'
  • yellowcard Zini 54'