Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Bingu National Stadium

Malawi vs South Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions

South Sudan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malawi win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw has a probability of 27.48% and a win for South Sudan has a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.25%) , while for a South Sudan win it is 0-1 (7.98%).

Result

Malawi 48.28%
Draw 27.48%
South Sudan 24.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.09%
Under 1.5 30.91%
Over 2.5 44.88%
Under 2.5 55.12%
Over 3.5 23.95%
Under 3.5 76.05%
Over 4.5 13.75%
Under 4.5 86.25%

First Half Winner

Malawi 31.02%
Draw 54.69%
South Sudan 14.3%

Team To Score First

Malawi 54.43%
No Goal 10.02%
South Sudan 35.55%

Corners

Over 8 27.64%
Equal 8 10.46%
Under 8 61.9%
Over 9 19.35%
Equal 9 8.29%
Under 9 72.36%
Over 10.5 13.22%
Under 10.5 86.78%

Malawi Goals

Over 1.5 42.1%
Under 1.5 57.9%
Over 2.5 19.41%
Under 2.5 80.59%
Over 3.5 7.19%
Under 3.5 92.81%

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 56.62%
Under 0.5 43.38%
Over 1.5 23.57%
Under 1.5 76.43%
Over 2.5 8.07%
Under 2.5 91.93%
Over 3.5 2.29%
Under 3.5 97.71%

Score analysis

Malawi 48.29%
Draw 27.48%
South Sudan 24.23%
Malawi
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 8.46%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 6.96%
Total : 48.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 27.48%
South Sudan
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.23%