Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 1-2 (5.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.