AFC Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 12, 2026 7.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Thani Bin Jassim Stadium
  • Ferjani Sassi 48' goal
  • goal Jasir Asani 37'
  • yellowcard Jaloliddin Masharipov 44'
  • yellowcard Roozbeh Cheshmi 45'+4'
  • goal Hossein Goudarzi 60'
  • yellowcard Esmaeil Gholizadeh 82'

Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.15pm
Al-Hilal 0 - 0 Al Gharafa

Esteghlal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 7.15pm
Esteghlal 3 - 0 Al-Sadd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Gharafa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 0-1 (8.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Al Gharafa 41.2%
Draw 25.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Esteghlal 33.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 50.25%
Under 2.5 49.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.7%
Under 3.5 71.3%
Over 4.5 16.32%
Under 4.5 83.68%

First Half Winner

Al Gharafa 27.78%
Draw 43.19%
Esteghlal 29.03%

Team To Score First

Al Gharafa 42.93%
No Goal 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Esteghlal 49.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.64%
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 40.35%
Over 9 36.38%
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 52.36%
Over 10.5 26.66%
Under 10.5 73.34%

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 1.5 40.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.72%
Under 2.5 82.28%
Over 3.5 6.33%
Under 3.5 93.67%

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5 66.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.39%
Under 3.5 95.61%

Score analysis

Al Gharafa 41.22%
Draw 25.42%
Esteghlal 33.37%
Al Gharafa
1-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 6.11%
Total : 41.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.42%
Esteghlal
0-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 33.37%