Qatar Stars League Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2026 3.00pm
Khalifa International Stadium

Al Gharafa vs Lusail City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.15pm
Al-Sadd 4 - 1 Al Gharafa
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Frank Magri

Lusail City

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 5.15pm
Lusail City 4 - 0 Al Wakrah
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Farhad Zavoshi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Lusail City has a probability of 33.93% and a draw has a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Gharafa win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Lusail City win is 1-2 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.11%).

Result

Al Gharafa 41.23% (-0.02)
Draw 24.78%
Lusail City 33.93% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.45% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.64% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.68% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 37.32% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 40.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 59.47% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 24.19% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.81% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Al Gharafa 33.95% (+0.11)
Draw 40.4% (-0.03)
Lusail City 25.65% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Al Gharafa 52.42% (-0.06)
No Goal 4.93% (-0.03)
Lusail City 42.65% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.94% (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.62% (-0.03)
Under 8 32.44% (+0.10)
Over 9 44.26% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.67% (-0.03)
Under 9 44.06% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 33.5% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 66.5% (+0.05)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 1.5 47.76% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.24% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.67% (+0.02)

Lusail City Goals

Over 0.5 71%
Under 0.5 29%
Over 1.5 41.19%
Under 1.5 58.81%
Over 2.5 18.2%
Under 2.5 81.8%
Over 3.5 6.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.33% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Al Gharafa 41.24%
Draw 24.79%
Lusail City 33.93%
Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.67% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.8% (-0.01)
Total : 41.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 24.79%
Lusail City
1-2 @ 7.93% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 6.14% (-0.02)
Total : 33.93%