Qatar Stars League Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Khalifa International Stadium
  • Ferjani Sassi 23' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohamed Aiash 58'
  • yellowcard Khalid Mohammed 74'

Al Gharafa vs Lusail City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.15pm
Al-Sadd 4 - 1 Al Gharafa
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Frank Magri

Lusail City

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 5.15pm
Lusail City 4 - 0 Al Wakrah
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Farhad Zavoshi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Lusail City had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Lusail City win was 1-2 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Al Gharafa 40.95% ▼ (-0.28)
Draw 24.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Lusail City 34.15% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.43% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 17.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 62.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 40.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 59.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 24.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 75.78% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Al Gharafa 34.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 40.09% ▼ (-0.31)
Lusail City 25.89% ▲ (+0.25)

Team To Score First

Al Gharafa 52.41% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Lusail City 42.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 32.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 44.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 44.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 1.5 47.61% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 52.39% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 22.45% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 77.55% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 9.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Lusail City Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 28.83% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 41.42% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 58.58% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 18.36% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 81.64% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 6.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.28% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Al Gharafa 40.95%
Draw 24.9%
Lusail City 34.16%
Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 40.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.9%
Lusail City
1-2 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 34.16%