Qatar Stars League
Aug 28, 2026 3.15pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Grand Hamad Stadium
  • Julian Draxler 7' goal
  • Ahmed Reyad 16' yellowcard
  • Ismail Mohamad 51' goal
  • Julian Draxler 63' goal
  • Julian Draxler 88' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo 12'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Aiash 41'
  • goal Farhad Zavoshi 45'
  • yellowcard Muhammad Taher Khan 87'
  • goal Rodrigo 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo 90'+5'

Al Ahli vs Lusail City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahli

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Sadd 3 - 1 Al Ahli
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Julian Draxler

Lusail City

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Rayyan 1 - 0 Lusail City
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Rodrigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 49%. A win for Lusail City had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lusail City win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

Al Ahli 49% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Lusail City 27.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.13% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 19.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 59.4%
Under 2.5 40.6%
Over 3.5 37.31%
Under 3.5 62.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 22.39%
Under 4.5 77.61%

First Half Winner

Al Ahli 38.78%
Draw 38.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Lusail City 22.95% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Al Ahli 56.37%
No Goal 5.48%
Lusail City 38.15%

Corners

Over 8 56.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 31.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 43.9%
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 43.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 32.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 51.08%
Under 1.5 48.92%
Over 2.5 25.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 74.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.65%
Under 3.5 89.35%

Lusail City Goals

Over 0.5 64.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.09%
Under 1.5 66.91%
Over 2.5 12.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.22%
Under 3.5 95.78%

Score analysis

Al Ahli 49%
Draw 23.37%
Lusail City 27.63%
Al Ahli
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.48%
Total : 49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.37%
Lusail City
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 27.63%