Qatar Stars League Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2026 3.15pm
Grand Hamad Stadium

Al Ahli vs Lusail City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahli

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Sadd 3 - 1 Al Ahli
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Erik Expósito

Lusail City

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Rayyan 1 - 0 Lusail City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Ahli win with a probability of 49%. A win for Lusail City has a probability of 27.63% and a draw has a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Ahli win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lusail City win is 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.24%).

Result

Al Ahli 49% (+0.04)
Draw 23.38% (-0.02)
Lusail City 27.63% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.13% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.38% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 19.62% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 59.4%
Under 2.5 40.6%
Over 3.5 37.31%
Under 3.5 62.64% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 22.39%
Under 4.5 77.61%

First Half Winner

Al Ahli 38.78%
Draw 38.26% (-0.03)
Lusail City 22.95% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Al Ahli 56.37%
No Goal 5.48%
Lusail City 38.15%

Corners

Over 8 56.04% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 31.86% (-0.02)
Over 9 43.9%
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 43.96% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 32.78% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.22% (-0.02)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 51.08%
Under 1.5 48.92%
Over 2.5 25.77% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 74.23% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.65%
Under 3.5 89.35%

Lusail City Goals

Over 0.5 64.42% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.58% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.09%
Under 1.5 66.91%
Over 2.5 12.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.22%
Under 3.5 95.78%

Score analysis

Al Ahli 49%
Draw 23.37%
Lusail City 27.63%
Al Ahli
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.27% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.48%
Total : 49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.37%
Lusail City
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 27.63%