AFC Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 14, 2026 7.15pm
Basra Sport City Stadium

Esteghlal vs Al-Sadd - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Esteghlal

All competitions

Al-Sadd

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Esteghlal has a probability of 28.17% and a draw has a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Sadd win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Esteghlal win is 1-0 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Esteghlal 28.17%
Draw 24.79%
Al-Sadd 47.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.62%
Under 1.5 25.38%
Over 2.5 50.91%
Under 2.5 49.09%
Over 3.5 29.5%
Under 3.5 70.5%
Over 4.5 16.94%
Under 4.5 83.06%

First Half Winner

Esteghlal 22.68%
Draw 42.07%
Al-Sadd 35.25%

Team To Score First

Esteghlal 41.28%
No Goal 7.33%
Al-Sadd 51.39%

Corners

Over 8 50.12%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 38.48%
Over 9 39.18%
Equal 9 10.95%
Under 9 49.88%
Over 10.5 29.46%
Under 10.5 70.54%

Esteghlal Goals

Over 1.5 29.49%
Under 1.5 70.51%
Over 2.5 10.29%
Under 2.5 89.71%
Over 3.5 3.17%
Under 3.5 96.83%

Al-Sadd Goals

Over 0.5 75.57%
Under 0.5 24.43%
Over 1.5 44.27%
Under 1.5 55.73%
Over 2.5 21.01%
Under 2.5 78.99%
Over 3.5 8.03%
Under 3.5 91.97%

Score analysis

Esteghlal 28.17%
Draw 24.79%
Al-Sadd 47.05%
Esteghlal
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-1 @ 6.64%
2-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 7.33%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.79%
Al-Sadd
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 4.97%
0-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.07%
Other @ 8.02%
Total : 47.05%

Head to Head

Sep 17, 2018 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Akram Afif 27' goal
  • Yasser Aboubaker Essa 80' yellowcard
  • Baghdad Bounedjah 92' goal
  • yellowcard Rouzbeh Cheshmi 22'
  • goal Rouhollah Bagheri 32'
  • goal Morteza Tabrizi 49'
  • redcard Rouzbeh Cheshmi 50'
  • yellowcard Farshid Esmaeili 86'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Rahmati 91'
Aug 27, 2018 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Meshaal Barsham 12' goal
  • Markus Neumayr 41' yellowcard
  • Armin Sohrabian 47' yellowcard
  • Farshid Bagheri 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Woo-Young Jung 24'
  • goal Akram Afif 60'
  • goal Baghdad Bounedjah 65'
  • goal Baghdad Bounedjah 74'