AFC Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2026 7.15pm
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal vs Al Gharafa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions

Al Gharafa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.23%. A draw has a probability of 17.17% and a win for Al Gharafa has a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.42%) , while for a Al Gharafa win it is 0-1 (3.62%).

Result

Al-Hilal 70.23% ▼ (-2.00)
Draw 17.17% ▲ (+0.75)
Al Gharafa 12.6% ▲ (+1.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.78% ▲ (+1.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.47% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 1.5 18.53% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 2.5 61.98% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 2.5 38.02% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 3.5 40.73% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 59.27% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 4.5 29.52% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 70.48% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Al-Hilal 58.56% ▼ (-1.52)
Draw 28.57% ▲ (+1.09)
Al Gharafa 12.88% ▲ (+0.45)

Team To Score First

Al-Hilal 72.84% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 5.07% ▲ (+0.48)
Al Gharafa 22.09% ▼ (-0.22)

Corners

Over 8 59.39% ▼ (-4.40)
Equal 8 10.8% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 8 29.81% ▲ (+3.70)
Over 9 48.24% ▼ (-4.79)
Equal 9 11.14% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 9 40.61% ▲ (+4.40)
Over 10.5 37.65% ▼ (-4.75)
Under 10.5 62.35% ▲ (+4.75)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 1.5 66.12% ▼ (-2.07)
Under 1.5 33.88% ▲ (+2.07)
Over 2.5 41.61% ▼ (-1.39)
Under 2.5 58.39% ▲ (+1.39)
Over 3.5 22.64% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 3.5 77.36% ▲ (+1.07)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5 44.05% ▲ (+1.72)
Under 0.5 55.95% ▼ (-1.72)
Over 1.5 17.12% ▲ (+1.80)
Under 1.5 82.88% ▼ (-1.80)
Over 2.5 4.97% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 2.5 95.03% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 3.5 1.54% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 3.5 98.46% ▼ (-0.69)

Score analysis

Al-Hilal 70.22%
Draw 17.16%
Al Gharafa 12.61%
Al-Hilal
2-0 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.64)
1-0 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.53)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.35)
3-0 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.97)
3-1 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 22.55% ▼ (-1.13)
Total : 70.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.48)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 17.16%
Al Gharafa
0-1 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.36)
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.62)
Total : 12.61%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Nov 3, 2025 6.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT