AFC Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2026 7.15pm
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal vs Al Gharafa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions

Al Gharafa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw has a probability of 16.43% and a win for Al Gharafa has a probability of 11.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.41%) , while for a Al Gharafa win it is 0-1 (3.56%).

Result

Al-Hilal 72.23%
Draw 16.43%
Al Gharafa 11.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.53%
Under 1.5 17.47%
Over 2.5 62.76%
Under 2.5 37.24%
Over 3.5 39.94%
Under 3.5 60.06%
Over 4.5 29.3%
Under 4.5 70.7%

First Half Winner

Al-Hilal 60.08%
Draw 27.48%
Al Gharafa 12.44%

Team To Score First

Al-Hilal 73.09%
No Goal 4.6%
Al Gharafa 22.31%

Corners

Over 8 63.79%
Equal 8 10.1%
Under 8 26.11%
Over 9 53.02%
Equal 9 10.78%
Under 9 36.21%
Over 10.5 42.4%
Under 10.5 57.6%

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 1.5 68.18%
Under 1.5 31.82%
Over 2.5 42.99%
Under 2.5 57.01%
Over 3.5 23.7%
Under 3.5 76.3%

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5 42.33%
Under 0.5 57.67%
Over 1.5 15.33%
Under 1.5 84.67%
Over 2.5 3.94%
Under 2.5 96.06%
Over 3.5 0.86%
Under 3.5 99.14%

Score analysis

Al-Hilal 72.23%
Draw 16.43%
Al Gharafa 11.33%
Al-Hilal
2-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.65%
1-0 @ 9.3%
3-0 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 23.67%
Total : 72.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.41%
0-0 @ 4.6%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 16.43%
Al Gharafa
0-1 @ 3.56%
1-2 @ 3.41%
0-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 11.33%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Nov 3, 2025 6.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT