Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Alphadjo Cissè 32' yellowcard
  • Koni De Winter 51' yellowcard
  • goal Lenny Joseph 52'
  • goal Lenny Joseph 66'
  • redcard Bamidele Yusuf 77'
  • yellowcard Ádám Nagy 90'+4'

AC Milan vs Ferencvaros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Ferencvaros

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 38.66%
Draw 24.7%
Ferencvaros 36.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.77% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 19.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 36.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 21.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.04% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 25.17%
Draw 40.17%
Ferencvaros 34.66%

Team To Score First

AC Milan 42.92% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Ferencvaros 51.69%

Corners

Over 8 54.18%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 34.88%
Over 9 43.33%
Equal 9 10.86%
Under 9 45.82%
Over 10.5 33.37%
Under 10.5 66.63%

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 42.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 71.74%
Under 0.5 28.26%
Over 1.5 41.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.78%
Under 3.5 92.22%

Score analysis

AC Milan 38.65%
Draw 24.7%
Ferencvaros 36.65%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 38.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 24.7%
Ferencvaros
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.31%
Total : 36.65%