Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.