Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.