Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.