Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 10 | 2nd Leg
Jun 14, 2025 at 5pm UK
Wiklof Holding Arena

Mariehamn
1 - 5
VPS

Emmanuel Okereke (72')
Lindgren (31'), Enqvist (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jakonen (6', 57'), Fall (54', 80'), Ahiabu (66' og.)
Niemi (54'), El Ouatki (75')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between IFK Mariehamn and Vaasan Palloseura.

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: KTP 2-2 Mariehamn
Saturday, May 31 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Last Game: Haka 2-1 VPS
Saturday, May 31 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for IFK Mariehamn has a probability of 26.16% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win is 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.36%).

Result
IFK MariehamnDrawVaasan Palloseura
26.16% (1.073 1.07)24.09% (0.357 0.36)49.75% (-1.428 -1.43)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06% (-0.662 -0.66)45.93% (0.663 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75% (-0.63 -0.63)68.24% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (0.508 0.51)31.45% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (0.58299999999999 0.58)67.84% (-0.581 -0.58)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.79899999999999 -0.8)18.52% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-1.367 -1.37)49.75% (1.368 1.37)
Score Analysis
    IFK Mariehamn 26.16%
    Vaasan Palloseura 49.75%
    Draw 24.08%
IFK MariehamnDrawVaasan Palloseura
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.279 0.28)
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.195 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 26.16%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.195 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49.75%

Head to Head
Jul 28, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
VPS
2-1
Mariehamn
Hytonen (44'), Machado (51' og.)
Enqvist (79')
Jun 12, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 11
Mariehamn
0-0
VPS
Tehe Olawale (67')
Engstrom (45'), Alanko (78')
Sep 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Mariehamn
1-2
VPS
Sid (14')
Cledson (45+1')
Godly Michael (7'), Bashkirov (30')
Godly Michael (27'), Raisanen (53')
May 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 6
VPS
2-1
Mariehamn
Hudd (1'), Roberto (53')
Hopcutt (71' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 5
Mariehamn
2-2
VPS
Lahti (69'), Sjoroos (74')
Multanen (38'), Reid (83')