Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haka in this match.