Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Aug 31, 2026 5.00pm
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 1.00pm
HJK Helsinki 2 - 3 Gnistan

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 4.00pm
TPS 0 - 0 Inter Turku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gnistan win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for TPS has a probability of 30.44% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest TPS win is 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.76%).

Result

Gnistan 46.61%
Draw 23%
TPS 30.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.69%
Under 1.5 17.31%
Over 2.5 62.66%
Under 2.5 37.34%
Over 3.5 40.42%
Under 3.5 59.58%
Over 4.5 24.46%
Under 4.5 75.54%

First Half Winner

Gnistan 35.38%
Draw 39.59%
TPS 25.03%

Team To Score First

Gnistan 57.45%
No Goal 4.38%
TPS 38.17%

Corners

Over 8 58.21%
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 30.88%
Over 9 47.06%
Equal 9 11.15%
Under 9 41.79%
Over 10.5 36.55%
Under 10.5 63.45%

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 50.99%
Under 1.5 49.01%
Over 2.5 25.65%
Under 2.5 74.35%
Over 3.5 9.94%
Under 3.5 90.06%

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 68.43%
Under 0.5 31.57%
Over 1.5 38.03%
Under 1.5 61.97%
Over 2.5 16.25%
Under 2.5 83.75%
Over 3.5 5.52%
Under 3.5 94.48%

Score analysis

Gnistan 46.61%
Draw 22.99%
TPS 30.44%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-2 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.72%
Other @ 9.63%
Total : 46.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.99%
TPS
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-1 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 30.44%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 24, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Luke Ivanovic 56' yellowcard
  • 56' yellowcard
  • Luke Ivanovic 74' yellowcard
  • Miika Kauppila 74' yellowcard
  • Tobias Karkulowski 74' yellowcard
  • Tobias Karkulowski 75' yellowcard
  • Lasse Ikonen 75' yellowcard
  • Miika Kauppila 75' yellowcard
  • S. Anini 89' yellowcard
  • S. Anini 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard J. Ojala 30'
  • yellowcard Adeleke Akinyemi 55'
  • yellowcard Adeleke Akinyemi 56'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 70'
  • yellowcard Sergey Eremenko 76'
  • yellowcard Max Herman Bjurstrom 76'