2.Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2026 5.30pm
SchücoArena

Arminia Bielefeld vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.30pm
Nuremberg 4 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Joel Grodowski

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 2 Kaiserslautern
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Marcus Mathisen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw has a probability of 23.35% and a win for St Pauli has a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arminia Bielefeld win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a St Pauli win it is 0-1 (5.73%).

Result

Arminia Bielefeld 56.78% (+0.07)
Draw 23.35%
St Pauli 19.87% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.87% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.35% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 22.65% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 54.27% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.73% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.36% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.64% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.97% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.03% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Arminia Bielefeld 41.38% (-0.01)
Draw 40.04% (+0.07)
St Pauli 18.58% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Arminia Bielefeld 61.04% (+0.12)
No Goal 6.21% (-0.05)
St Pauli 32.75% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 62.65% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.66% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.7% (+0.01)
Over 9 51.37% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.28% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.35% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 40.4% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 59.6% (+0.03)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 1.5 53.78% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.22% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 27.71% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.29% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.65% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 88.35% (-0.05)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 56.1% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 43.9% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.38% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.62% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 7.13% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.87% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 56.78%
Draw 23.35%
St Pauli 19.87%
Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.28% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.27% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 11.51% (+0.03)
Total : 56.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 23.35%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.7% (+0.02)
Total : 19.87%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcel Hartel 53' goal
  • Lukas Daschner 69' goal
  • goal Jomaine Consbruch 73'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Janni-Luca Serra 76' goal
  • Janni-Luca Serra 84' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2019 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
  • Henk Veerman 3' goal
  • Henk Veerman 25' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 54' goal
  • Luca Zander 60' yellowcard
2.Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2019 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brian Behrendt 56' yellowcard
  • Manuel Prietl 69' yellowcard
  • Manuel Prietl 90' goal
  • goal Christian Joe Conteh 32'
  • yellowcard Ryo Miyaichi 79'
  • yellowcard Niklas Hoffmann 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
  • Park Yi-young 4' yellowcard
  • Ryo Miyaichi 48' goal
  • Christopher Buchtmann 56' yellowcard
  • Florian Carstens 75' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Klos 5'
  • yellowcard Andreas Voglsammer 45'
  • yellowcard Brian Behrendt 60'
  • yellowcard Patrick Weihrauch 64'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2018 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT SchücoArena (Bielefeld)
  • Keanu Staude 7' goal
  • Keanu Staude 14' yellowcard
  • Fabian Klos 54' yellowcard
  • Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui 82' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Knoll 49'
  • goal Mats Moller Daehli 55'
  • yellowcard Bernd Nehrig 90'
  • yellowcard Mats Moller Daehli 90'