2.Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld
Sep 4, 2026 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT SchücoArena
St Pauli
  • Jannik Rochelt 13' goal
  • Marvin Mehlem 35' yellowcard
  • Joel Grodowski 51' goal
  • Maximilian Bauer  88' yellowcard
  • goal Taichi Hara 20'
  • yellowcard Tomoya Ando 47'
  • yellowcard Eric Smith 56'
  • goal Abdoulie Ceesay  65'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Pyrka 88'

Arminia Bielefeld vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.30pm
Nuremberg 4 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Joel Grodowski

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 2 Kaiserslautern
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Abdoulie Ceesay 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.35% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Arminia Bielefeld 56.78%
Draw 23.35%
St Pauli 19.91% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 22.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 54.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 80.99% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Arminia Bielefeld 41.38%
Draw 40.04%
St Pauli 18.58%

Team To Score First

Arminia Bielefeld 61.05% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.2% ▼ (-0.01)
St Pauli 32.75%

Corners

Over 8 62.65%
Equal 8 10.66%
Under 8 26.7%
Over 9 51.37%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 37.35%
Over 10.5 40.4%
Under 10.5 59.6%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 1.5 53.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 46.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 27.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 11.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.34% ▼ (-0.01)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 56.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 43.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 76.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 56.78%
Draw 23.35%
St Pauli 19.92%
Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.28%
2-0 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 56.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.35%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.92%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 30
St Pauli
Apr 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arminia Bielefeld
  • Marcel Hartel 53' goal
  • Lukas Daschner 69' goal
  • goal Jomaine Consbruch 73'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Arminia Bielefeld
Oct 22, 2022 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Pauli
  • Janni-Luca Serra 76' goal
  • Janni-Luca Serra 84' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 18
St Pauli
Dec 21, 2019 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Arminia Bielefeld
  • Henk Veerman 3' goal
  • Henk Veerman 25' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 54' goal
  • Luca Zander 60' yellowcard
2.Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld
Jul 29, 2019 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
St Pauli
  • Brian Behrendt 56' yellowcard
  • Manuel Prietl 69' yellowcard
  • Manuel Prietl 90' goal
  • goal Christian Joe Conteh 32'
  • yellowcard Ryo Miyaichi 79'
  • yellowcard Niklas Hoffmann 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
St Pauli
Apr 14, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Arminia Bielefeld
  • Park Yi-young 4' yellowcard
  • Ryo Miyaichi 48' goal
  • Christopher Buchtmann 56' yellowcard
  • Florian Carstens 75' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Klos 5'
  • yellowcard Andreas Voglsammer 45'
  • yellowcard Brian Behrendt 60'
  • yellowcard Patrick Weihrauch 64'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Arminia Bielefeld
Nov 4, 2018 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT SchücoArena (Bielefeld)
St Pauli
  • Keanu Staude 7' goal
  • Keanu Staude 14' yellowcard
  • Fabian Klos 54' yellowcard
  • Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui 82' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Knoll 49'
  • goal Mats Moller Daehli 55'
  • yellowcard Bernd Nehrig 90'
  • yellowcard Mats Moller Daehli 90'

Form Data

Nuremberg 4 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2 - 2 Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld 3 - 0 Energie Cottbus
Karlsruher 2 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 1 Duisburg
Bologna 0 - 4 Arminia Bielefeld
St Pauli 1 - 2 Kaiserslautern
RWE 2 - 0 St Pauli
Holstein Kiel 1 - 2 St Pauli
St Pauli 1 - 1 Greuther Furth
St Pauli 2 - 2 Deportivo
Bournemouth 4 - 1 St Pauli