Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.