DFB-Pokal
Aug 23, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Essen
  • Marek Janssen 36' goal
  • Tony Menzel 44' yellowcard
  • Semir Telalovic 53' goal
  • Semir Telalovic 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Pyrka 27'
  • yellowcard Marcus Mathisen 90'+1'

Rot-Weiss Essen vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Essen

All competitions

St Pauli

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rot-Weiss Essen win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rot-Weiss Essen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Rot-Weiss Essen 41.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.19% ▲ (+0.02)
St Pauli 34.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.59% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 62.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 37.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 38.09% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 61.91% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 23.81% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 76.19% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Rot-Weiss Essen 31.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 41.3% ▼ (-0.09)
St Pauli 26.81% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Rot-Weiss Essen 53.21% ▼ (-0.12)
No Goal 4.9% ▲ (+0.03)
St Pauli 41.89% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 63.57% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 8 9.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 26.52% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 9 53.04% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 9 10.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 36.43% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 10.5 42.67% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 10.5 57.33% ▲ (+0.29)

Rot-Weiss Essen Goals

Over 1.5 46.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 53.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 22.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 77.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 90.93% ▲ (+0.07)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.78% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Rot-Weiss Essen 41.97%
Draw 23.19%
St Pauli 34.83%
Rot-Weiss Essen
2-1 @ 8.93%
1-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 41.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 23.19%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95%
Other @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 34.83%