Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win with a probability of 44%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.