Vorskla

2 - 0

Metalist Kharkiv

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.