Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Minai had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.94%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.