Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Olimpik Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.