Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.