Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.