Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
24.78% ( 0.2) | 23.64% ( 0) | 51.58% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.85% ( 0.16) | 45.14% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% ( 0.16) | 67.49% ( -0.16) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( 0.25) | 32.15% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( 0.29) | 68.63% ( -0.29) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( -0.02) | 17.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.95% ( -0.02) | 48.04% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 24.78% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 51.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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